Employment

Impact of demography, technology & globalization on the future of work.

Proposal for Global Employment Project


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Submitted by Jacky Foo and Ashok Natarajan

 

1.1 The Problem

The current global economic recession has increased unemployment rates in both the developed and developing countries and thereby has added to the hardships of the people. It has made the task of accelerating job growth an even more urgent proposition than before. The collapse of communism and decrease in social security benefits has made employment the only meaningful option for providing a decent living to the billion people living below the poverty line in developing countries and for fulfilling the aspirations of an equal number of people to rise to middle class level in those same countries. The very quick spread of globalization and the formation of many regional economic associations have made it very difficult to protect national economics from the adverse effects of global recession. The accelerated growth of international trade and new job outsourcing policies have led to job reduction in many sectors and thereby fueled public resentment towards globalization and intensified demands for quick remedial action on the home front. People’s expectation about rising income and better living standards have led to dissatisfaction with present stagnant living conditions and thereby has fostered fundamentalist and extremist movements. In such a context India’s efforts to provide guaranteed employment to millions of rural workers is a welcome step that shows that this nation is alert to the problem.  India’s response is to be magnified on the global scale by developing globally viable strategies if global security and political stability and economic development are to continue in an undisturbed manner.

Each new era on the global scene generates new opportunities and challenges which demand new perspectives and approaches if they are to be properly met. The history of the 20th century is replete with instances of the failure of meeting new situations with old outmoded policies and the consequent calamities that follow. Imperialistic ambitions led to two devastating world wars and the cold war between the Soviet and NATO blocks posed a risk to global security for 5 decades or more. The post cold war era requires new visionary perspectives that will allow a sound reexamination of the root causes of many global afflictions. The prospects for full employment in an era of fast spreading globalization and economic integration are one such issue. Piecemeal adjustments will not deliver the results at a time when radical new approaches are required. The World Academy is an ideal institution for coming up with the required visionary and comprehensive new approaches that will help meet the changed conditions of the world.

Around 51 per cent of the combined population of developing and least developed countries is below the age of 25 (World Youth Report, 2005). About 76.6% of the youth (15-24 year old) in the world live in Asia and Africa and around 515 million of them are living on less than US$ 2 a day. Youth unemployment (ILO, 2003) was highest in Western Asia and North Africa (25.6 per cent) and sub-Saharan Africa (21 per cent) and lowest in East Asia (7 per cent) and the industrialized countries (13.4 per cent). We urgently need to be more creative and provide youths with information on the many ways to make a living and how to earn a livelihood. Formal education is traditionally advocated as the way out of poverty in many poor countries but isn’t providing an immediate answer to current problems in the cities. More than 50 % of the world population lives in cities now and by 2050 it will be 80 %. There will be greater competition for salaried jobs. Already many countries face the problem of insufficient jobs for university graduates and unemployed professionals. While the ability to read and write is essential, there are many ways where youths with primary education can create their own livelihoods through self-employment.

Employment (unemployment and underemployment) is a problem everywhere and has worsened in recent years because of the global recession. As a result, the percentage and number of poor people in the world will increase and many of them will risk joining the "less than 2 US$ a day" category.

 

1.2 BackGround

Over the past 15 years the Academy has examined various aspects and issues of the global employment challenge. 

  1. At the Minneapolis General Assembly in 1994, it discussed the findings and recommendations of the International Commission on Peace and Food regarding the factors and process responsible for the generation of employment opportunities and the prospects for achieving global full employment.
  2. This was followed by a seminar on the Future of Work
  3. A workshop at the Vancouver General Assembly
  4. An international conference in New Delhi in 2004
  5. A plenary session at the Zagreb General Assembly in 2005

1.3 Scope and Proposal

This proposal combines and integrates both theoretical and practical aspects of the global employment issue. It will be an interdisciplinary dialogue to explore the demographic, economic, political, psychological and legal dimensions relevant to global employment and   practical strategies and methods for generating employment so that the magnitude of the impact of the current adversity can be properly assessed and suitable remedial measures can be developed. Activities will be based on a common internet platform utilizing electronic forum software to invite theoretical and practical contributions from within the Academy, other experts and organizations as well as the global general public.

The methodology proposed will :

(i)             Establish an internet forum for Employment with defined topics for exploration.  

(ii)              Identify Fellows to moderate the discussion on each topic.

(iii)            Nominate Junior and/or Associate Fellows to assist in the management of each forum

(iv)            Invite eminent thinkers drawn from within and outside the academy to contribute thoughtful preliminary statements on various aspects of the issue.

(v)              Open the forum to discussion and further contributions by all Fellows.

(vi)            Invite other individuals and organizations -- educational, research, governmental and commercial – to participate and contribute.

(vii)          define a set of core issues for further discussion with the help of the moderators once a considerable body of thought has accumulated,

(viii)        Organize live workshops can be held of active participants to refine the issues and enrich the discussion.

(ix)             Publish articles in WAAS or submitted to leading journals to stimulate wider discussion of this issue. 

The following may be suitable as topics for e-conferencing : 

(i)                Impact of the international financial crisis on global employment prospects, employment in transition economies, the role of money in the global economy

(ii)              Employment trends, strategies and opportunities for Youth in developing countries

(iii)            Historical trends in global employment generation, impact of demographic trends on the future of employment, trends toward self-employment in developing and economically advanced nations

(iv)            Entrepreneurship and employment generation

(v)              Relationship between Unemployment & Terrorism (to be linked to the topic is being addressed by the project on Revolution in Human Affairs and  linkages with underemployment, rising expectations, social instability)

(vi)            Employment in Eastern Europe –  focus on the problems in transition countries as well as the impact of the recent financial crisis

(vii)          Impact of technological development of job growth, e.g. impacts of the Internet on global employment and self-employment opportunities

(viii)        Employment in OECD countries – impact of demographic trends on shortage of workers

(ix)             Implications for an aging population that is living and working longer

(x)               Guaranteed Employment – India’s recent experience with guaranteed employment among the rural poor raises important questions of relevance to other countries.

(xi)             Implications for an aging population that is living and working longer

(xii)           Implications of India’s national rural employment guarantee scheme & similar programs

(xiii)         Cultural dimensions of employment – especially impacting women

(xiv)         Globalization & the Future of Work – the relationship between employment, globalization and development, global outsourcing

(xv)           An integrated social theory of employment generation, public policy measures 

(xvi)         Practical strategies, methods and new approaches for generating employment

 1.4 Outputs from E-Conferences

(i)       Regular summary statements from the various activities highlighting important questions and insights hosted on the WAAS web site and published in WAAS newsletters.

(ii)      Database of practices in income generation and website on how to make money and create sustainable livelihoods

 1.5 Organizational Structure

(i)      Project Committee: Establish a small committee of interested Fellows & collaborating organizations to direct the project.  Members could include Jacky Foo, Ashok Natarajan, Asim Kurjak,  Mladen Stanicic, Orio Giarini, Eleanor Masini, Lloyd Etheredge, and others. 

 

(ii)    Moderators for each discussion topic.

a.       Nominate Junior/Associate Fellows

b.       Graduate students from participating organizations

(iii)  Collaborators: Identify one or several institutions to collaborate with the Academy on this project

a.       from OECD  -- e.g. University of Pittsburgh

b.       from Eastern Europe – e.g. Institute for International Relations (IMO) 

c.       developing countries, e.g. The Mother’s Service Society, International Council on Ecopolis Development (IntEcopolis),  

      Various other organizations  (e.g. ILO, UNDP, Youth Entrepreneurship & Sustainability, (http://www.yesweb.org/), Changemakers,  Onebillionminds) may be interested to collaborate too. For example, Onebillionminds is willing to work with us on pro-bono basis to publicize an award contest among universities students in India, Germany and other countries.  It  can attract students  to work on a website and to host the call for ideas. This could be one avenue for putting this project idea into action. 

 

1.6   Funding and Sources

 

(i)                E-forum platform and websites – the project needs to combined the use of WAAS website with other internet conferencing/e-forum systems as well as a dedicated website with better database management capabilities. In addition to pro bono services from collaborators, general administrative support for management of forums may be US$50,000 per year.

(ii)             Forum Moderators – initially to be contributed by participating/sponsoring organizations but when funding becomes available, honorariums will be given. 

(iii)            Research and Case Studies – to be contributed by participating/sponsoring organizations and via grants

 

Proposal for WAAS Dialogue on Global Employment


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The current global economic recession has increased unemployment rates in both the developed and developing countries and thereby has added to the hardships of the people. It has made the task of accelerating job growth an even more urgent proposition than before. The collapse of communism and decrease in social security benefits has made employment the only meaningful option for providing a decent living to the billion people living below the poverty line in developing countries and for fulfilling the aspirations of an equal number of people to rise to middle class level in those same countries. The very quick spread of globalization and the formation of many regional economic associations have made it very difficult to protect national economics from the adverse effects of global recession. The accelerated growth of international trade and new job outsourcing policies have led to job reduction in many sectors and thereby fueled public resentment towards globalization and intensified demands for quick remedial action on the home front. People’s expectation about rising income and better living standards have led to dissatisfaction with present stagnant living conditions and thereby has fostered fundamentalist and extremist movements. In such a context India’s efforts to provide guaranteed employment to millions of rural workers is a welcome step that shows that this nation is alert to the problem.  India’s response is to be magnified on the global scale by developing globally viable strategies if global security and political stability and economic development are to continue in an undisturbed manner.

Each new era on the global scene generates new opportunities and challenges which demand new perspectives and approaches if they are to be properly met. The history of the 20th century is replete with instances of the failure of meeting new situations with old outmoded policies and the consequent calamities that follow. Imperialistic ambitions led to two devastating world wars and the cold war between the Soviet and NATO blocks posed a risk to global security for 5 decades or more. The post cold war era requires new visionary perspectives that will allow a sound reexamination of the root causes of many global afflictions. The prospects for full employment in an era of fast spreading globalization and economic integration are one such issue. Piecemeal adjustments will not deliver the results at a time when radical new approaches are required. The world academy is an ideal institution for coming up with the required visionary and comprehensive new approaches that will help meet the changed conditions of the world.
 
Scope
 
This proposal gives a call for an interdisciplinary dialogue that explores the demographic, economic, political, psychological and legal dimensions relevant to global employment so that the magnitude of the impact of the current adversity is properly assessed and suitable remedial measures can be developed.
 
Issues
A partial list of topics for discussion can include
·         Historical trends in global employment generation
·         Impact of demographic trends on the future of employment
·         Significance of the international financial crisis and the role of money in the global economy
·         Linkage between underemployment, rising expectations, social instability and terrorism
·         Implications for an aging population that is living and working longer
·         Implications of India’s national rural employment guarantee scheme & similar programs
·         Impact of globalization on job creation
·         Global employment and global governance
·         Impact of technological development of job growth
·         An integrated social theory of employment generation
·         Global outsourcing
·         Employment in transition economies
·         Public policy measures
Proposal
The Academy can launch a global exploration of the broad issue of employment and its various expressions and implications for global society. This proposal envisions the following methodology:
1.       Establish an internet forum for Employment with defined topics for exploration.
2.       Identify Fellows to moderate the discussion on each topic.
3.       Nominate Junior and/or Associate Fellows to assist in the management of each forum
4.       Invite eminent thinkers drawn from within and outside the academy to contribute thoughtful preliminary statements on various aspects of the issue.
5.       Open the forum to discussion and further contributions by all Fellows.
6.       Invite other individuals and organizations -- educational, research, governmental and commercial – to participate and contribute.
7.       Moderators can prepare quarterly summary statements highlighting important questions and insights to be hosted on the WAAS web site and published in WAAS newsletters.
8.       Once a considerable body of thought has accumulated, the moderators can interact to define a set of core issues for further discussion.
9.       Live workshops can be held of active participants to refine the issues and enrich the discussion.
10.   Ultimately the Academy’s findings can be published by WAAS or submitted to leading journals to stimulate wider discussion of this issue.
 

Poverty and globalization influence on health of unborns


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Congratulations for many important recent activities of WAAS. I would like to be active in this direction and read with interest on the proposed projects. One of them would be poverty and globalization influence on health of unborns. I think this should be extension of the proposal of Jacky Foo on poverty and youth. I enclose one of my manuscripts on poverty and health of unborns containing most important topics in this field. It is a real global tragedy that more than 600.000 women are dying in the world annually simply because they are pregnant. I published several editorials and reviews about this problem and will be happy to contribute in appropriate project. I am attaching two documents.

Poverty and Youths


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The percentage and number of poor people in the world will increase. In the next decade, with 76.6% of the global youth population (2005; 15-24 years old) in Asia and Africa, many youths (13-24 year old) from poor countries will join the "less than 2 US$ per day" category of people.

I am proposing the theme for WAAS to address this global issue.

Organization Structure:

Establish a Task force of WAAS Fellows

Internet Information and Activities:

Feature the work of WAAS Fellows (for greater awareness; role of WAAS)

Organize activities and develop projects

Goal:

to save youths from falling into the "less than 2 US$ per day"

Methods:

various (according to how each WAAS Fellow is already doing it and develop innovative approaches)

Indicators:

Number of youths saved (i.e. Monitor youths until they turn 25 years old or have a livelihood).

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The above proposal is very brief but it present a general idea of the theme for further discussion and for developing it into a WAAS proposal. It is not a project by a single person. It is supposed to be a theme where many WAAS Fellows can contribute and take an active role in action-oriented activities.

Recent work by Jacky Foo :

2009 "Rabbits to the Rescue". Cultivating Innovation: Solutions for Rural Communities

http://www.changemakers.net/en-us/node/20304

2008 Rabbit Network Kenya

www.globetree.org/africa/rabbit-net

2009 Environmental Activities in Maikona, Eastern Kenya

www.globetree.org/africa/maikona

2007 Children on Probation and their Environment at Probation Centres in Kenya

http://www.globetree.org/jackyfoo/gt/report-FS200703657-v4.pdf

2009 Grant Applications (pending approval)

2009-2011. Tackling Violence Against School Girls: A joint action by Schools and Children as Actors in prepareness and Campaign.

2009-2012. Strengthening family and community capacity to care for vulnerable children through innovative food production and marketing systems

 

 

 

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