Global Prospects for the Future

Exploration of ideas related to the question "In what kind of future world might we find ourselves?"

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Planning focuses on action in the future based on assumptions about changing conditions and circumstances, potential opportunities that can be tapped, and challenges that need to be addressed. This forum is for exploration of ideas related to the question "In what kind of future world might we find ourselves?"

Discussion on Emerging Global Trends & Conditions


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Discussion on Emerging Global Opportunities


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Discussion on Emerging Global Challenges


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Lipoproblems: Developing a Strategy Omitting a Key Problem - the systemic challenge of climate change and resource issues


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Lipoproblems: Developing a Strategy Omitting a Key Problem
http://www.laetusinpraesens.org/musings/lipoprob.php

CONTENTS 

 

Introduction 

Examples in literature 

Lipoproblematic strategies 

Using a legal regime to frame a lipostrategy in relation to indigenous peoples

Global financial mis-selling as a form of lipostrategy?

Overpopulation denial as a lipoexemplar 

Lipostrategies as the hollowing and evisceration of values? 

Geoengineering as the "mother of all lipostrategies"? 

Institutional engendering of lipostrategies 

Potential for omission of other systemic "vowels" 

Recognized "E's" as indicative of lipostrategic possibilities

Relevance of other "lipo" associations 

Conclusion

 

 

'Internal' Strengths & Weaknesses and 'External' Threats & Opportunities


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THE WORLD ACADEMY OF ART AND SCIENCE

 

'Internal' Strengths & Weaknesses and 'External' Threats & Opportunities

 

 

Location

GOAL = Social Consequences & Policy Implications of Knowledge

'Internal'

(within WAAS)

Strengths

Weaknesses

  S1 – 50 years since establishment by eminent individuals – Albert Einstein, Bertrand Russell

  S2 – Membership of eminent individual artists & scientists with interdisciplinary experience

  S3 – Continual renewal of membership

  S4 – Corporate structure & constitution

S5 – Ability to comprehend & discuss critically emerging complex issues relating to the social & policy impacts of knowledge

  S6 – Driven by individual interest, passion & liaison to form global & regional multi-disciplinary networks to critically explore & learn about, analyse & synthesise, disseminate & build partnerships on critical issues

  S7 – Lack of a partisan or negative reputation

 

W1 – Not widely known or active outside the North Atlantic region

W2 – Purpose unclear to members

W3 – Without defined programmes for collective collegial action

W4 – Harnessing knowledge, experience & passion of all members for their involvement & satisfaction

W5 – Rarely used the knowledge & experience of members in strategic programmes

W6 – Insecure programme funds for medium-term

 

'External'

(outside WAAS)

Opportunities

Threats

O1 – Harnessing the knowledge, experience & passion of members to address critical social challenges at regional or global scale

O2 – Identifying critical global & regional challenges within it comparative advantage for strategic action & leverage potential

O3 – Identifying target audiences for the its programmatic work

O4 – Discovering modalities for promoting mutual understanding & commonwealth

O5 – Establishing networks / 'virtual communities' exchanging information using ICT

O6 – Formation of new national academies of art & science to stimulate industry & commerce in NIEs & transition economies

 

T1 – Perception as a diffuse & non-serious entity

T2 – Emergence of many other global 'players' concerned with the social consequences & policy implications of knowledge (e.g. Club of Rome resurgence, School of Athens, university centres)

T3 – Strengthening of national academies of art & science to address social & policy impacts & applications of knowledge

T4 – Potential decline in funding 'global' think-tanks

T5 – Prioritization of local governance challenges resulting from globalization

 

 

 

 

Source: Based on thoughts by Arthur Cordell, 2007

 

Challenges to WAAS in the 21st century


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Some Emerging Challenges on the Social Consequences and Policy Implications

of Knowledge Advances for Global Civilization in the 21st Century

 

 

Objectives

Potential Challenges & Actions

1.      Human Dignity & Actualization 

·         Knowledge & Skills: Encouraging individuals to acquire, use & generate knowledge & skills for meeting their needs, enterprise & employment flexibility

·         'Environment': Nurture an enabling ‘environment’ for individual & group enterprise, competition, innovation & risk-taking

·         Styles & Approaches: Harness the rich & diverse talents of global multi-cultural societies to search for styles & approaches (a) to solve problems, & (b) to exploit & manage opportunities

·         Recognition: Recognize ‘heroes’ who have generated wealth through enterprise in various forms (e.g. arts, science, commerce, engineering)

·         Social & Cultural Capital: Encourage individuals to learn knowledge & skills from others, to be aware & motivated, to create social, cultural & economic capital, to gain personal satisfaction & contentment (i.e. the feeling of ‘making a difference’), & to gain meaning & enlightenment when linked with, responding to, having a vested interest in & committing to their ‘neighbours’ or associates in a place, local organization or social business

 

2.      Enterprise & Organization

(Diverse Capabilities)

·         Creative Leadership: Encourage the emergence of leaders in enterprises who constantly challenge the status quo & display creative dissatisfaction for better political effectiveness & social & ‘environmental’ sustainability

·         Emergency Preparedness: Prepare citizens for abrupt & irreversible environmental changes & extremes (e.g. climate change impacts) that threaten livelihoods, food security & health

·         ‘Community’ Organization: Encourage ‘local’ communities & neighbourhoods to organize themselves in terms of a stable composition, cohesiveness, mutual support, transformation & change, harnessing energy & creativity, outward-looking, being engaged, ensuring safety & security, communication, & responding to threats & adversity

·         ‘Neighbourhood Trusts’: Encourage formation of neighbourhood ‘trusts’ at different levels with a clear focus, cause, purpose, beliefs; & with an ability to form alliances & partnerships to communicate, care for the group, access resources, realize freedoms, & to promote security similar in function to site-bound parishes & communities

·         Capacity Development: Enable individuals to acquire basic knowledge, concepts, understanding & skills (‘soft’ skills) with technical support tailored to their needs & aptitudes so that they may be able to choose & develop their potential, talents & career at a time of rapidly changing technology & knowledge redundancy 

·         Creative Livelihoods: Promote an understanding of converging skills & capabilities needed for work & life (i.e. life-long learning & coherence), autonomous livelihoods & self-actualization, individual creativity & initiatives, wealth creation in various forms, & for leadership in a world influenced by consumerism, sophisticated technology, IT & global labour markets

3.      Global Governance & Resilience

·         Economic stability: Promote economic stability through various measures such as low inflation & interest rates, low bureaucracy & regulation, tax incentives & regimes, good infrastructure, balancing equity with efficiency, increasing employment opportunities, enhancing individual & corporate reputations in international ‘markets’

·         Security Potential & Limits: Encourage knowledge & understanding about the potentials & limits of internal & external security (e.g. environmental, nuclear, technological, social)

·         Public Information: Provide robust public information to enlighten individuals on alternative consumption lifestyles, food & water security, healthy & creative livelihoods, & pathways to reprocessing & recycling of domestic & industrial wastes

·         Consumption Patterns: Promote reduced energy & materials use & wastage to redress the impact of individual 'footprints' on nature’s absorption capacity (‘metabolism’) through ‘green’ policies, a variety of reprocessing practices & opportunities that create ‘resource loops’, & through corporate / social reporting on environmental impacts & waste generation

·         Ethical Values: Encourage all individuals to understand & share the five (5) ethical values for responsible citizenship important in every culture: Honesty, Responsibility, Respect, Fairness, & Compassion, so that they may invest in the formation of human, intellectual, social, cultural, ethical & financial capital

·         Democracy & Accountability: Promote democracy, universal suffrage, equal voting, public accountability of all associations, partnership arrangements, strong leadership (within & outside organizations), internal visionaries, external pressures, & citizens’ rights

·         Investments: Ensure the rights & responsibilities of 'investors' to promote efficient enterprises, secure a local 'market' or competitive advantage over the medium term in return for their social investments, ensure a decent wage, & to pay reasonable & democratically-agreed taxes

·         Popular power: Harness the creativity, innovation & cultural power of people to promote social & economic transactions & changes, & to exploit & manage social & economic opportunities

 

 

Historical revolutions that have enhanced Knowledge & challenged human creativity in risk assessment & exploration of opportunistic enterprises:

l  From small family / extended family bands to large clans based on kinship

l  From primitive stone-age to advanced iron-age hunter-gatherers based on tools

l  From hunter-gatherers to settled farmers & pastoralists based on water management

l  From simple social organization to complex societies with division of labour, hierarchy & trade based on surplus production

l  From feudal societies to nation states, and now to a world / global order based on the recognition of human rights & responsibilities, and universal suffrage

l  From a culture of patronage & serfdom to universal suffrage & democratic participation in nation state (social emancipation)

l  From metropolitan / imperial nations dependent on colonies & ‘slavery’ to independent nations with some historical & trade linkages but with partnerships in development based on realization of the limits to isolationism

l  From independent nation states to regional federation of states based on sharing investments, benefits & risks

l  From labour-intensive to mechanical, electrical, nuclear & electronic technologies based on the fundamental building blocks of the universe

l  From organic to genetic technologies based on the building blocks of life

l  From composite to nano-technologies based on outer space experiences & demands

 

 

“The ultimate measure of a man is not where he stands in moments of comfort and convenience, but where he stands at times of challenge and controversy.” (Martin Luther King, Jr.)

 

 

 

Jose I dos R Furtado

18th June 2009

 

A Proposed Approach to Discussing Future Directions for the Academy


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July 21-23, 2006

 

From time to time, every organization stops and takes stock.  This is a key responsibility of a Board of Trustees. .  To assess both past accomplishments  and current resources, to identify key opportunities and strategic directions are essential to the effectiveness and robustness of an organization. 

Established in 1960, The World Academy will, in 2010,  be marking  50 years of activity.   The upcoming 50th anniversary of WAAS offers yet another reason to for the Board to discuss future directions at this time. 

Perhaps the following will help provide a bit of a context and stimulus to begin such a conversation: 

GIVEN

  • WAAS is nearing the 50 year mark since its founding
  • There is a corporate and Board structure (including bylaws)
  • There is continual renewal as new Fellows are named 
  • Fellows represent a distinguished set of accomplished academics, politicians, professionals and artists
  • WAAS reflects both a global and a multi-disciplinary perspective 
  • WAAS has the capacity to comprehend and critically discuss the most complex issues of our time
  • There is great potential for global 'influence' and contribution to the commonweal
  • The prominence of the  Albert Einstein quote on the WAAS website: "The creations of our mind shall be a blessing and not a curse to mankind."
  • other??

 

THEREFORE

If the assets of the WAAS are embodied by the accomplishments, knowledge and experiences of its Fellows:   

  1. How can WAAS best use these assets (i.e. resources) over the next 2-5 years?
  2. Should WAAS look to increasing its influence in key areas? Where? How?  Do we want WAAS to become better known?  Where?  Among the public or policy circles or governments or academics? 
  3. How do we make more operational  the fundamental aims of the World Academy: e.g.,  To rediscover the language of mutual understanding.
  4. How does WAAS develop its work program?  Does the work program of WAAS follow a consistent thread?  Should it?  Or is it more opportunistic, depending on funding and interests?
  5. How can we best tap into the experience, passion, knowledge and resources of the Fellows?  How can we best engage Fellows into the work and outcomes of WAAS?
  6. How can we make it such that  Fellows increase their appreciation of the WAAS and their role in it such that they find personal and professional meaning when they note their connection to WAAS in, for example, in their bio or c.v. or when chatting with colleagues?   That Fellows find the WAAS sufficiently interesting and exciting that they seek to involve junior colleagues in the work of WAAS.
  7. We have defined our focus as "the social consequences and policy implications  of knowledge." There is a growing global discourse in this area.  While WAAS may have been one of the first "in the game", others groups have entered this area.  With a growing number of "players", what is the unique niche of the WAAS  and what is its unique contribution to the global conversation?

 

Reframing Global Initiatives for the Future in the light of past experiments


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Reframing Global Initiatives for the Future in the light of past experiments

Please visit http://www.laetusinpraesens.org/docs00s/disting.php

Towards a generic description

Towards a higher order of abstraction?

Potential of new modes of thinking

Challenge of selection and organization

Enabling a viable strategic window

Game-playing, gerrymandering, astroturfing and globallooning

Misrepresentation of interactive feedback processes

Acknowledging collective conceptual impotence

Avoidance of simulation

Enabling metaphors

Reframing opportunities for the individual

Previous commentaries on aspects of the challenge

Eliciting coherent comprehension of the challenge through aesthetics

-- The Charge of the Light Brigade

-- La Belle Dame sans Merci

 

State of the World Forum and WAAS


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Of possible interest given its strategic significance:

State of the "World Forum" vs "State of the World" Forum: challenge of reflexivity http://www.laetusinpraesens.org/docs00s/statforu.php

Contents:

A forum on the "State of the World"?

The state of a "World Forum"?

Substantive framing: "climate change" as a surrogate challenge?

Political framing: "State of the World" vs "World State"? "State" vs "Mobilizing"?

Global Solutions Wiki Opportunities at the Forum (Washington, 2009)

-- Engaging rather than Mobilizing | Complex system dynamics

-- Memory aids (mnemonics) | Metaphorical enrichment

-- Dialogue, argument and issue mapping | Evaluation and monitoring

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